Friday, December 27, 2019

How Will Historians Remember The 21st Century - 1880 Words

How will historians remember the 21st Century? I believe that it will be known, when the dust has finally settled, as the Century of the End of Work. Let me explain. A number of authors think (1) that we are entering an economy in which, due to advances in robotics, artificial intelligence, and 3-D printing, the marginal cost of most manufactured items will fall close to zero. Consider software: while Windows 10 cost millions of dollars to develop, the cost to Microsoft to pushing out another copy over the internet is essentially nonexistent – about 20 minutes on a virtual server that is probably running dozens of instances of Windows. Consider the 3-D printed car. Once the printer is programmed, depending on the cost of materials, the car is very inexpensive. Consider agriculture. This would seem to be an area resistant to automation and robotics. After all, picking strawberries is labor-intensive. But consider combines and harvesters – wheat cultivation and harvesting of grain and straw is essentially all mechanized now. Consider artificial intelligence. There are enormously erudite and complex debates about whether an AI can become conscious, and the dangers that might arise from that consciousness. These individuals either ignore the question of what consciousness is, or founder on the attempt to find a definition. (â€Å"Being able to produce a narrative about what one is doing while doing it† is perhaps as good a definition as any.) Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Steven Hawking,Show MoreRelatedCan Oral History Be Trusted1444 Words   |  6 Pagesâ€Å"Can Oral History be Trusted† ? The 21st Century, a time we live in where nearly everything is documented. Whether it be written and put into archives or posted on Facebook. Things were much different in the early stage of man up until now. The cave people documented things by writing on walls, but can this be trusted? 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